文一-安泰师资-上海交通大学中银科技金融学院

教育背景

1996  美国爱荷华大学经济学博士

1991  美国圣母大学科学哲学硕士

1982  中国华西医科大学医学学士

个人简介

1982年获华西医科大学医学学士，1991年获美国圣母大学（Notre Dame）科学史与科学哲学硕士，1996年获爱荷华（Iowa）大学经济学博士。之后在香港科技大学经济系（1996-1999）、美国康奈尔大学经济系（1999-2005）任助理教授，华盛顿大学（圣路易斯）访问教授（2005-2008）。2005年起担任美国联邦储备银行高级研究员，2008年升任助理副行长，并于同年起担任清华大学经济管理学教授，CCB讲席教授，博士生导师，国家千人计划学者。曾经获得美国印第安纳大学和英国华威大学（Warwick）终身正教授聘书。2021年8月辞职美联储并加盟上海交通大学安泰经济与管理学院，任经济系长聘教授。主要讲授课程包括：高级宏观经济学，中级宏观经济学，中国宏观经济与工业革命史。

研究领域包括宏观经济学，商业周期，货币政策，中国宏观经济问题。在全球顶级经济学刊物，如Econometrica, Review of Economic Studies, Journal of Economic Theory，Journal of Monetary Economics, Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking， American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 等匿名审稿国际顶级学术期刊发表论文五十多篇。著有《伟大的中国工业革命──发展政治经济学一般原理批判纲要》（清华出版社，2016），《一个超级大国的诞生：中国快速工业化揭秘》（英文，世界图书出版公司，2016），《科学革命的密码──枪炮、战争与西方崛起之谜》（东方出版中心有限公司，2021）。

曾兼任美国宏观领域顶级学术期刊《宏观经济动力学》副主编（Macroeconomic Dynamics, Associate Editor）、《经济调控与动力学杂志》副主编（Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Associate Editor），《中国经济评论》主编（China Economic Review, co-Editor），清华大学经济管理学院《经济学报》主编（co-editor）等职。

研究领域

宏观经济学、商业周期、货币政策、中国宏观经济、工业革命史、科学革命史

国际顶级学术期刊论文（SCI）

[1] “Capacity Utilization under Increasing Returns to Scale.” Journal of Economic Theory 81 (1998) 7-36.

[2] “Can a Real Business Cycle Model the Watson Test?” Journal of Monetary Economics 42 (1998) 185-230. 

[3] “Investment Cycles.” Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 22 (1998) 1139-1165. 

[4] “Indeterminacy, dynamic adjustment costs, and cycles,” Economics Letters 59 (1998) 213-216.

[5] “A simple nonlinear filter for economic time series analysis,” (with Bing Zeng) Economics Letters 64 (1999) 151-160.

[6] "A generalized method of impulse identification," Economics Letters 73 (2001), 367-374.

[7] “Understanding self-fulfilling rational expectations equilibria in real-business-cycle models.” Journal of Economic   Dynamics and Control 25 (2001) 1221-1240.

[8] "Residential Investment and Economic Growth," Annals of Economics and Finance 2 (November 2001), 437-444.

[9] “Joint time-frequency distributions for business cycle analysis,” (with Sharif Raihan and Bing Zeng) Lecture Notes in Computer Science 2252 (2001), 347-358.

[10] "The business cycle effects of Christmas." Journal of Monetary Economics 49 (2002), 1289-1314.

[11] "Indeterminacy, aggregate demand, and the real business cycle." (with Jess Benhabib), Journal of Monetary Economics 51 (2004), 503-530. 

[12] "What does it take to explain procyclical productivity?" Contributions to Macroeconomics 4 (2004, No.1), Article 5 (in   The B.E. Journals in Macroeconomics).

[13] "Endogenous money or sticky prices? Comment on monetary non-neutrality and inflation dynamics." (with Peng-Fei Wang), Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control  29 (2005, No. 8), 1361-83.

[14] "Understanding the Inventory Cycle." Journal of Monetary Economics 52 (2005), 1533-1555.

[15] “Demand shocks and economic fluctuations.” Economics Letters 90 (2006), 378-383.

[16] "Another look at sticky prices and output persistence," (with Peng-fei Wang) Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, December 2006, 30(12), pp. 2533-52.

[17] “By force of demand: Explaining international comovements,” Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 31(1), January 2007, 1-23.

[18] "Understanding the large negative impact of oil shocks," (with Luis Conraria) Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking 39(4), June 2007, 925-44.

[19] “Granger causality and equilibrium business cycle theory,” Federal Reserve bank of St. Louis Review 89(3), May/June 2007, 195-205.

[20] “Measuring interest rates as determined by thrift and productivity,” (with Woongyu Choi), Annals of Economics and Finance 8(1), May 2007, 159-187.

[21] “Production and inventory behavior of capital,” Annals of Economics and Finance 8(1), May 2007, 87-104.

[22] "What's unique about the federal funds rate? Evidence from a spectral perspective," (with Lucio Sarno and Daniel Thornton) Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, April 2007, 69(2), 293-319.

[23] “Inflation Dynamics: A Cross-Country Investigation,” (with Peng-fei Wang) Journal of Monetary Economics October 2007, 54(7), 2004-31.

[24] “Imperfect competition and composition of aggregate output,” (with Peng-fei Wang), Journal of Economic Theory November 2008, 143(1), 519-40. 

[25] “A note on oil dependence and economic instability,” (with Luis Conraria), Macroeconomic Dynamics, November 2008, 12(5), 717-23.

[26] “Global indeterminacy in locally determinate RBC models (with Tarek coury),  International Journal of Economic Theory, March 2009, 5(1), 49-60.[27]

[27] “Understanding the Puzzling Effects of Technology Shocks,” (with Peng-fei Wang), Review of Economic Dynamics October 2011, 14(4), pp. 705-24.

[28] “Dynamics of Externalities: A Second-order Approach,” (with Huabin Wu)., Federal Reserve bank of St. Louis Review April/May, 2011.

[29] “Can rising housing prices explain China’s high household saving rate?” (with Xin Wang), Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review May/June, 2011.

[30] “Input and Output Inventory Dynamics,” American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, October 2011, 3(4), pp. 1-33.

[31] “Volatility, Growth, and Welfare,” (with Peng-fei Wang), Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 35 (2011) 1696–1709.

[32] "OPEC’s Oil Exporting Strategy and Macroeconomic (In)Stability" with Luís Aguiar-Conraria, Energy Economics, January 2012, 34(1), 132-136.

[33]  "Hayashi Meets Kiyotaki and Moore: A Theory of Capital Adjustment Costs" with Pengfei Wang,
Review of Economic Dynamics, September 2012, 15(2), 207-225.

[34] "Speculative Bubbles and Financial Crisis" with Pengfei Wang, American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, July 2012, 4(3), 184-223.

[35] “Housing Prices and the High Chinese Saving Rate Puzzle" with Xin Wang
China economic review, June 2012, 23(2), pp. 265-283.

[36] "Leveraged Borrowing and Boom-Bust Cycles" with Patrick A. Pintus, Review of Economic Dynamics, October 2013, 16(4), 617-633.

[37] “What Inventory Tell Us about Business Cycles? A (S,s) Approach,” with Pengfei Wang and Zhiwei Xu, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 44, pp. 196-217, July 2014.

[38] "Money, Liquidity and Welfare," European Economic Review 76, pp. 1-24, May 2015.

[39] “Sentiments and Aggregate Demand Fluctuations,” with Jess Benhabib and Pengfei Wang, Econometrica 83(2), pp. 549-585, March 2015.

[40] “The Great Housing Boom of China,” with Kaiji Chen, American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics April 2017, Vol. 9, No. 2, pp. 73-114

[41] "Self-Fulfilling Credit Cycles," with Costas Azariadis and Leo Kaas. Review of Economic Studies, October 2016, Vol. 83, No. 4, pp. 1364-1405

Working Paper https://doi.org/10.1093/restud/rdv056

[42] "Two-Way Capital Flows and Global Imbalances," with Pengfei Wang and Zhiwei Xu. Economic Journal, February 2017, Vol. 127, No. 599, pp. 229-269

Working Paper https://doi.org/10.1111/ecoj.12290

[43] "Long and Plosser Meet Bewley and Lucas"
with Feng Dong, Journal of Monetary Economics, April, Vol. 102, No. April, pp. 70-92
Working Paper https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jmoneco.2019.01.025

[44] “Credit Search and Credit Cycles,” with Feng Dong and Pengfei Wang, Economic Theory Volume 61 (2) – Sep 26, 2015.

[45] "Should Capital Be Taxed?" with Yunmin Chen, YiLi Chien, and  C.C. Yang, Economics Letters (forthcoming). 

[46] "A Search-Based Neoclassical Model of Capital Reallocation" with Feng Dong and Pengfei Wang, European Economic Review Volume 128, September 2020, 103515.

[47] "International Credit Markets and Global Business Cycles" with Patrick A. Pintus and Xiaochuan Xin International Journal of Economic Theory, March, Vol. 1, No. 15, pp. 53-75

Working Paper https://doi.org/10.1111/ijet.12206

[48] "Withstanding Great Recession like China" with Jing Wu, Manchester School, 2018-05-28 Working Paper https://doi.org/10.1111/manc.12223

[49] "Financial Development and Long-Run Volatility Trends" with  Pengfei Wang Review of Economic Dynamics, April 2018, Vol. 28, pp. 221-251
Working Paper https://doi.org/10.1016/j.red.2017.08.005

[50] "Escaping the Middle-income Trap —A Cross-Country Analysis on the Patterns of Industrial Upgrading" with Lili Wang, Advances in Economics and Business, January 2018, Vol. 6, No. 1, pp. 36-61
Working Paper https://doi.org/10.13189/aeb.2018.060104

[51] "Are Unconditional Lump-sum Transfers a Good Idea?" with  Yunmin Chen, Yili Chien, and C.C. Yang, Economics Letters (forthcoming), 
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Working Paper 2021-002C, August 2021

[52] "Time-Inconsistent Optimal Quantity of Debt" with Yili Chien, European Economic Review (forthcoming), Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Working Paper 2020-037E, September 2021

[53] "Optimal Ramsey Capital Income Taxation under Quasilinear Preferences" with Yili Chien, Review of Economic Dynamics (forthcoming),  Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Working Paper 2017-024C, February 2018

[54] “China’s Industrial Revolution—A New Perspective,” China Economic Review, Volume 69, October 2021, 101671

专著

[1] 《伟大的中国工业革命——“发展政治经济学”一般原理批判纲要》（清华大学出版社，2016）

[2] 《The Making of an Economic Superpower: Unlocking the Secret of China’s Rapid Industrialization》（英文，世界图书出版公司，2016）

[3] 《科学革命的密码——枪炮、战争与西方崛起之谜》

[1][2]这两本专著对中国崛起和工业革命提出了一个全新的解释，目前在国内外已经形成较大影响力，豆瓣评分8.0以上，被很多国内外媒体转载和介绍，被国内外30多所科研机构、民间社团和大型企业邀请作主题发言和介绍。这些邀请单位包括：世界银行，国际货币基金组织，美国联邦储备银行，美国罗格斯大学，美国圣母大学，美国圣路易斯商会，英国曼切斯特大学，德国特里尔大学，莫斯科国立大学，香港科技大学，香港中文大学深圳高等金融研究院，英国中国留学生会，清华大学，人民银行五道口金融学院，北京大学，人民大学，上海交通大学，暨南大学，华南师范大学，南开大学，长江商学院，中国非洲基金会，东方证卷，中国科学院，北京市团委，当代中国经济研究会，复旦中国研究院，观察者网，文汇报，成都康弘制药公司，王石地产，碧云资本投资公司（上海、香港）等等。第三本专著对17-18世纪的牛顿力学革命和拉瓦锡化学革命提出了完全不同于流行历史观的解释。

国内媒体文章（摘选）

[1] “中国为何超越 因为中国找到了工业革命的秘诀”，《观察者网》http://www.guancha.cn/WenYi2/2016_06_04_362845.shtml

[2] “中国经验如何照亮英国工业革命之谜”《观察者网》http://www.guancha.cn/WenYi2/2016_06_23_365070.shtml

[3] “中国崛起：英国工业革命后最壮观的历史性事件”《文汇报》http://whds.whb.cn/wenhuazixun/3133.htm

[4] “为什么中国崛起势不可挡？”《百年潮》2016.6

[5] “邓小平为什么拿不到经济学诺奖？”《观察者网》

[6] 网络评论文章：中国四书之一：文一教授的《伟大的中国工业革命》科学网—中国四书之一：文一教授的《伟大的中国工业革命》 - 钱纲的博文 (sciencenet.cn)

国内经济学界获奖情况

国家千人计划入选者（2010）
第三届孙冶方金融创新奖 （2018）
浦山世界经济学优秀论文奖（2016）

近期工作文献

[1] "Why Might Lump-sum Transfers Not Be a Good Idea?" with Yunmin Chen, YiLi Chien, and  C.C. Yang Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Working Paper 2021-002A, February 2021

[2] "The Poverty of Macroeconomics --- What the Chemical Revolution Tells Us about Neoclassical Production Function" Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Working Paper 2021-001A, February 2021

[3] "Time-Inconsistent Optimal Quantity of Debt" with YiLi Chien, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Working Paper 2020-037B, October 2020

[4] "Are Government Bonds Net Wealth or a Liability? ---Optimal Debt and Taxes in an OLG Model with Uninsurable Income Risk" with YiLi Chien and  HsinJung Yu, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Working Paper 2020-007C, January 2021

[5] "Optimal Fiscal Policies under Market Failures"with YiLi Chien, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Working Paper 2020-002B, September 2020

[6] "The Determination of Public Debt under both Aggregate and Idiosyncratic Uncertainty" with YiLi Chien, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Working Paper 2019-038E, August 2020

[7] "What Does Financial Crisis Tell Us About Exporter Behavior and Credit Reallocation?"
with Yang Jiao, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Working Paper 2019-023A, August 2019

[8] "Optimal Ramsey Taxation in Heterogeneous Agent Economies with Quasi-Linear Preferences" with YiLi Chien, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Working Paper 2019-007D, May 2020

[9] "Flight to What? ---Dissecting Liquidity Shortages in the Financial Crisis" with  Feng Dong , Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Working Paper 2017-025B, October 2017

[10] "Optimal Ramsey Capital Income Taxation—A Reappraisal" with YiLi Chien, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Working Paper 2017-024C, February 2018

[11] "Optimal Monetary Policy under Negative Interest Rate" with Feng Dong, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Working Paper 2017-019A, July 2017

[12] "Withstanding Great Recession like China" with Jing Wu, Working Paper 2014-007A, posted March 2014. 

[13] "Evaluating Unconventional Monetary Policies ─Why Aren’t They More Effective?"  Working Paper 2013-028B, posted October 2013, updated January 2014. 

[14] "Is Government Spending a Free Lunch? -- Evidence from China" with Xin Wang, Working Paper 2013-013A, posted March 2013. 

[15] "Uncertainty and Sentiment-Driven Equilibria" with Jess Benhabib and Pengfei Wang
Working Paper 2013-011A, posted March 2013. 

[16] "Financial Development and Long-Run Volatility Trends" with Pengfei Wang
Working Paper 2013-003A, posted January 2013. 

[17] "Sentiments and Aggregate Demand Fluctuations" with Jess Benhabib and Pengfei Wang
Working Paper 2012-039A, posted September 2012. 

[18] "Capital, Finance, and Trade Collapse" 
with Yang Jiao, Working Paper 2012-003A, posted February 2012. 

[19] "Explaining China's Trade Imbalance Puzzle" Working Paper 2011-018A, posted August 2011.